CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE

Operator-Led vs Observer-Led Investment

The difference between backing people who've lived in an industry versus those who've studied it from outside. Why domain experience compounds.

Critical Infrastructure5 min readJanuary 2025

The venture capital playbook has a pattern: find smart generalists, point them at a market, watch them figure it out. It works in consumer tech, social media, and many B2B SaaS categories. It fails consistently in critical infrastructure and complex industrial sectors.

The difference comes down to operator-led versus observer-led investment.

The Observer Approach

Observer-led investment starts from the outside. Identify a large market. Research the pain points. Build a thesis about what's wrong with incumbent solutions. Recruit a team to execute on that thesis.

This works when:

  • The problem is legible from the outside
  • Customer feedback cycles are fast
  • Pivoting is cheap
  • The market rewards speed over depth

Consumer apps fit this model perfectly. So do many horizontal SaaS tools. But complex industrial sectors don't.

Why Operators See Differently

Someone who's spent a decade operating power grid infrastructure doesn't just understand the technical requirements—they understand the cultural, regulatory, and political context that shapes every decision.

They know which compliance requirements are hard constraints and which have flexibility. They know which stakeholders have informal veto power. They know the difference between what people say they need and what they actually need. They know where the bodies are buried.

This knowledge can't be acquired through customer interviews or market research. It's the accumulated residue of years of operating in the environment.

The Credibility Gap

Critical infrastructure buyers are deeply skeptical of vendors who don't understand their world. They've been burned too many times by enterprise software that ignored their operational reality.

When an operator-turned-founder walks in, the conversation is different. They speak the same language. They know the same war stories. They've experienced the same frustrations. This credibility gap is nearly impossible to close through marketing or sales excellence.

Domain Experience Compounds

The advantages of operator-led investment compound over time:

  • Product decisions incorporate deep domain knowledge
  • Customer relationships are peer relationships
  • Regulatory navigation is intuitive rather than learned
  • Hiring draws from professional networks built over decades
  • Partnership opportunities emerge from existing relationships

An observer-led team can learn the domain over time, but they're always playing catch-up. And in sectors where implementation cycles are long and switching costs are high, that learning period can be fatal.

The Muon Model

Muon Group backs operators who've lived in the industries they're building for. Not because we're against smart generalists—but because we've seen what happens when deep domain expertise meets execution capability.

The founders we back aren't learning the market. They're finally building what they've known was needed for years.